Econ 202- ch. 9
Unemployment rate formula
= Unemployment / labor force
labor force formula
= employed+ unemployed
BLS
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Inflation Rate formula
CPIcurrent year - CPIbaseyear/CPIbaseyear
An average of the prices of the goods and services purchased by a typical urban family of four.
Consumer price index
An index comparing the cost of buying the market basket of goods and services in the current year to the cost of buying the same market basket in the base year
Consumer price index
CPI
Consumer price index
Household survey
Current population survey of 60,000 households to measure employment status of everyone 16 years or older.
CPI formula
Expenditure on Market basket in Current year/ Expenditures on Market Basket in Base year
Cyclical unemployment is not a part of the ____ _____ ______, it makes _____ higher than the Natural rate.
Natural rate of unemployment, unemployment
to correct the effects of inflation, divide the nominal variable by a ____ and multiply by 100 to obtain a ____
Price index, real variable
what is a better measure of the true cost of borrowing and the true return from lending
Real interest rate
Nominal interest rate formula
Real interest rate+(expected) inflation rate+
Market basket
Representative group of goods and services purchased by the typical urban family of four
how does CPI overstate the cost of living and inflation rate?
Substitution bias, and increase in quality bias
Creation and destruction of jobs results from changes in _____________, _____________, and success and failure of entrepreneurs in responding to these changes
consumer taste, technological progress
what is a problem with deflation?
consumers reduce consumption spending,waiting for even lower prices
inflation rises, in general, both the ______ and ______.
cost of living, nominal income (prices of what we buy and the prices of what we sell).
what increases the burden on borrowers?
deflation that is not expected because it increases the real interest rate.
the real variable will be measured in
dollars of the base year
3 conditions to be counted as unemployed
don't have a job, available for work, actively looked for work in the last 4 weeks.
Core CPI
excludes food and energy rices because prices of food and energy tend to fluctuate up and down for reasons that may not be related to the causes of general inflation and that cannot easily be controlled by the Fed's actions. Causes such as droughts or hurricanes, and political unrest in oil producing countries.
"keep searching, there are jobs here for which you are qualified" describes what kind of unemployment
frictional unemployment
Workers have different skills, interests, and abilities, and jobs have different skill requirements, working conditions, and pay levels. A new worker entering the labor force or a worker who has lost a job will not find an acceptable job right away.
frictional unemployment
"Normal" rate of unemployment consists of _____ unemployment plus ___ unemployment
frictional, structural
3 types of unemployment
frictional, structural, and cyclical
Why is the BLS measure understate the true degree of unemployment?
it doesn't account for discouraged workers, and involuntary part-time workers.
What is the problem from inflation
it redistibutes between borrowers and lenders when actual inflation rate differs from expected inflation rate.
The U.S. economy creates and destroys millions of jobs every year. BLS numbers reported each month are net job changes, what does this do to the gross number of jobs?
it understates the number of jobs created and destroyed.
Restrictive labor laws
make it difficult for companies to fire workers, making companies hesitate to hire workers, increasing the natural rate of unemployment.
real interest rate
nominal interest rate- inflation rate
real interest rate formula
nominal interest rate- inflation rate.
Economic variables that are calculated in current year prices are referred to as
nominal variables
Real wage =
nominal wage/CPI
Cost of living index
not a measure of the standard of living
Increase in Quality bias
quality improvements of goods and services are not filtered out completely and show up as an increase in the cost of living (inflation).
when you have deflation (negative inflation)
real > nominal
when you have inflation
real< nominal
frictional unemployment
short term unemployment arising from the process of matching workers with jobs.
Why is the BLS measure overstate the true degree of unemployment?
some people claim to be actively looking for work but they really aren't to remain eligible for unemployment payments, and it doesn't account for jobs in the underground economy.
Nominal interest rate
stated interest rate on a loan
Caused by changes in the structure of the economy like shifts in manufacturing techniques and increased use of computers
structural unemployment
___ change in an economy will cause __ unemployment
structural, structural
Standard of living
the amount of income per person
if inflation is greater than expected then
the borrower wins
Establishment survey (payroll survey)
the bureau of labor statistics samples about 300,000 business establishments to see how many people they employ on the companies payroll.
if cyclical unemployment is eliminated in the economy, then
the economy is considered to be in full employment.
Natural rate of unemployment
the unemployment rate that would result from the combination of economic, social, and political factors that exist at a time.
What are factors that affect the natural rate of unemployment?
the usual pattern of companies expanding and contracting their workforces in a dynamic economy, social and economic forces that affect the labor market or public policies that affect either the eagerness of people who work or the willingness of businesses to hire.
Unemployment insurance payments allow
time to search for a good job match and it serves as an automatic stabilizer for the economy.
structural unemployment
unemployment arising from a persistent mismatch between the skills and characteristics of workers and the requirements of jobs.
Cyclical unemployment
unemployment caused by a business cycle recession or slowdown.
How do government policies impact frictional and structural unemployment
unemployment insurance payments and restrictive labor laws.
Substitution bias
using a fixed market basket, the CPI assumes that consumers do not buy less of a good whose relative price rises and more of a good whose relative price falls.