ch. 12 FIN 3403

what is the probability that small-company stocks will produce an annual return that is more than one standard deviation below the average?

16 percent

which one of the following time periods is associated with high rates of inflation?

1978-1981

the average annual return on small-company stocks was about _______ percent greater than the average annual return on large-company stocks over the period 1926-2010?

5

according to jeremy siegel, the real return on stocks over the long-term has averaged about:

6.7 percent

which one of the following categories of securities had the lowest average risk premium for the period 1926-2010?

US treasury bills

which one of the following was the least volatile over the period of 1926-2010?

US treasury bills

which one of the following statements correctly applies to the period 1926-2010?

US treasury bills had a positive average real rate of return

which one of the following statements is a correct reflection of the US markets for the period 1926-2010?

US treasury bills provided a positive rate of return each and every year during the period

which one of the following statements is correct concerning market efficiency?

a firm will generally receive a fair price when it issues new shares of stock

which one of the following statements best defines the efficient market hypothesis?

all securities in an efficient market are zero net present value investments

which one of the following statements related to capital gains is correct?

an increase in an unrealized capital gain will increase the capital gains yield

the return earned in an average year over a multi-year period is called the _______ average return

arithmetic

assume that you invest in a portfolio of large-company stocks. further assume that the portfolio will earn a rate of return similar to the average return on large-company stocks for the period 1926-2010. what rate of return should you expect to earn?

between 10 and 12.5 percent

what was the highest annual rate of inflation during the period 1926-2010?

between 10 and 15 percent

what was the average rate of inflation over the period of 1926-2010?

between 3.0 and 3.5 percent

bayside marina just announced it is decreasing its annual dividend from $1.64 per share to $1.50 per share effective immediately. if the dividend yield remains at its pre-announcement level, then you know the stock price:

decreased proportionately with the dividend decrease

assume that the market prices of the securities that trade in a particular market fairly reflect the available information related to those securities. which one of the following terms best defines the market?

efficient capital market

the average compound return earned per year over a multi-year period is called the _______ average return

geometric

which of the following statements is correct in relation to a stock investment?

i and iii only i. the capital gains yield can be positive, negative, or zero iii. the total return can be positive, negative, or zero

which of the following statements related to market efficiency tend to be supported by current evidence?

i, ii, and iii only i. markets tend to respond quickly to new information ii. it is difficult for investors to earn abnormal returns iii. short-run prices are difficult to predict accurately based on public information

if the variability of the returns on large-company stocks were to increase over the long-term, you would expect which of the following to occur as a result?

ii and iii only ii. increase in the risk premium iii. increase in the 68 percent probability range of the frequency distribution of returns

which of the following correspond to a wide frequency distribution?

iii and iv only iii. relatively high standard deviation iv. relatively large risk premium

which two of the following are most likely reasons why a stock price might not react at all on the day that new information related to the stock issuer is released?

iii and iv only iii. the information has no bearing on the value of the firm iv. the information was anticipated

to convince investors to accept greater volatility, you must:

increase the risk premium

according to theory, studying historical stock price movements to identify misplaced stocks:

is ineffective even when the market is only weak form efficient

the historical record for the period 1926-2010 supports which one of the following statements?

it is possible for small-company stocks to more than double in value in any one given year

which of the following statements are true based on the historical record for 1926-2010?

iv only iv. bonds are generally a safer investment than are stocks

as long as the inflation rate is positive, the real rate of return on a security will be ______ the nominal rate of return

less than

which one of the following statements is correct based on the historical record for the period 1926-2010?

long-term government bonds had a lower return but a higher standard deviation on average than did long-term corporate bonds

individuals who continually monitor the financial markets seeking mispriced securities:

make the markets increasingly more efficient

the real rate of return on a stock is approximately equal to the nominal rate of return:

minus the inflation rate

which one of the following correctly describes the dividend yield?

next year's annual dividend divided by today's stock price

which one of the following is defined by its mean and its standard deviation?

normal distribution

estimates of the rate of return on a security based on a historical arithmetic average will probably tend to ______ the expected return for the long-term an estimates using the historical geometric average will probably tend to ______ the expected return for the short-term

overestimate; underestimate

the primary purpose of plume's formula is to:

project future rates of return

the excess return is computed as the:

return on a risky security minus the risk-free rate

last year, t-bills returned 2% while your investment in large-company stocks earned an average of 5%. which one of the following terms refers to the difference between these two rates of return?

risk premium

you are aware that your neighbor trades stocks based on confidential information he overhears at his workplace. the information is not available to the general public. this neighbor continually brags to you about the profits he earns on these trades. given this, you would tend to argue that the financial markets are at best _______ form efficient.

semistrong

which one of the following categories of securities has the highest average return for the period 1926-2010?

small company stocks

which one of the following is a correct ranking of securities based on their volatility over the period of 1926-2010? rank from highest to lowest.

small company stocks, long-term corporate bonds, intermediate-term government bonds

which one of the following categories of securities has had the most volatile returns over the period 1926-2010?

small-company stocks

which one of the following earned the highest risk premium over the period 1926-2010?

small-company stocks

small-company stocks, as the term is used in the textbook, are best defined as the:

smallest twenty percent of the firms listed on the NYSE

the US securities and exchange commission periodically charges individuals with insider trading and claims those individuals have made unfair profits. given this, you would be most apt to argue that the markets are less than _______ form efficient.

strong

inside information has the least value when financial markets are:

strong form efficient

which one of the following statements concerning US treasury bills is correct for the period 1926-2010?

the annual rate of return was always positive

which one of the following best defines the variance of an investment's annual returns over a number of years?

the average squared difference between the actual returns and the arithmetic average return

stacy purchased a stock last year and sold it today for $3 a share more than her purchase price. she received a total of $.75 in dividends. which one of the following statements is correct in relation to this statement?

the capital gains yield is positive

which one of the following statements is correct?

the greater the volatility of returns, the greater the risk premium

efficient financial markets fluctuate continuously because:

the markets are continually reacting to new information

standard deviation is a measure of which one of the following?

volatility

if you excel in analyzing the future outlook of firms, you would prefer the financial markets be _____ form efficient so that you can have an advantage in the marketplace

weak

which one of the following is most indicative of a totally efficient stock market?

zero net present values for all stock investments