MBA 741 - (ISDS-710) Final Exam Study Guide
Basic Take Rate Measurement
# accepted offers / by # of contacts
How to calculate Transaction Conversation Rate (TCR)
# of actual transactions/# of clicks
How to calculate WOM
# of direct clicks+ # of clicks from recommendations / # direct clicks
How to calculate Click Through Rate
# of impressions/# of clicks
Take Rate or Probability of Generating Sales
(CTR * TCR) this measures the probability of generating a sale from a delivered impression
Cost per click (CPC) on sponsored search link or banner ads are more important than cost per thousand impressions because:
- only counting impressions -Clicks have a higher degree of lead quality
How to calculate Bounce Rate
-% of customers who leave your website after spending less than 5 seconds on your site. - website churn rate .5 sec measurement
Word of mouth (WOM)
-Helps quantify the value of social media activities -relates to CSAT in digital channels
Bounce Rate
-Measures how good /relevant your website is
Return on Dollars Spent (ROA)
-Measures the efficiency of generating net revenue from ad dollars spent when the end action is the purchase of a product or service -The equivalent or ROI for SEM (search engine marketing)
5 essential non-financial metrics
1. Brand Awareness 2. Test Drive 3. Churn 4. Customer Satisfaction Rate (CSAT) 5. Take Rate
FIVE web metrics
1. Cost per click (CPC) 2. Transaction conversion rate (TCR) 3. Return on Dollars Spent (ROA) 4. Bounce Rate 5. Word of Mouth (WOM)
Simple Linear Regression Example MAO's Palace to determine how the price of the bowls affects daily sales
1. Create XY Chart (Scatter Plot) X - Price Independent Y - Bowl Sales Dependent 2. Add trend line, show equation, and R squared 3. Use Y formula to create predict future sales column 4. Create Error rate column (actual demand-predicted demand)
What is the Flaw in CLTV metric?
1. Does not capture future activity accurately, requires prediction of future behaviors that are unpredictable - only useful for the moment in time when the calculation is preferred - may be a flaw to cut the customer - uncertainty, flaw in logic need flexibility, retaliation variables, effect of growth.
Linear Demand Function in Excel
1. Place Price and Demand numbers into scatter plot 2. Switch Row/Column 3. Right click one data point 4. Select Trend line 5. Select Display Equation
Four essential financial metrics
1. Profit 2. Net Present Value (NPV) 3. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 4. Payback
Using Excel Solver to Optimize Price
1. Select Solver 2. Select Target cell - e.g. optimize profit 3. Changing variable cells: Price 4. GRG Linear
Why is the standard definition of ROI not one of the essential marketing metric?
1. Standard ROI calculations do not account for the time value of money. Future money is worth less 3. Assumes value of $ is equal for all time periods 2. The length of time is ambiguous - 100% ROI can be achieved on a long enough timeline ROI = ((benefit - cost)/ cost)*100%
To determine profit price maximizing you need 2 things:
1. Variable cost (VC) to produce each unit VC = Total Cost/#Units 2. Price Elasticity Price Elasticity = %change in quantity demand / % change in price
Power Demand Curve in Excel
1. naming a cell as "a", enter a trial value for a 2. Name cell "Price" and insert price value directly underneath 3. If elasticity of demand equals 2, you know that the demand curve has the form q=ap-2 where "a "is unknown. 4. Name cell "Demand" 5. Enter a formula that computes the demand when the unit price equals $100. The demand is linked to your choice of the value of a in cell DEMAND with the formula a*p^−2. 6. Use Global Seek command to determine the value of "a".
ROMI: Determine Incremental Cashflows for new campaign
1. new project net profit - base net profit Net Profit (Cash Flow) Total Rev - Cost of Goods Sold - Marketing Costs - Earnings Before Interest (EBIT) - Taxes = Net Profit (Cash Flow)
ROMI: Determine Incremental Cashflows for new product
1. new project net profit - base net profit Net Profit (Cash Flow) Total Rev - Cost of Goods Sold - Marketing Costs - New product development costs (*) - Depreciation (*) - Earnings Before Interest (EBIT) - Taxes = Net Income + Depreciation (*) = Net Profit (Cash Flow)
ROMI: Determine Incremental Cashflows for sponsorship
1. new project net profit - base net profit Net Profit (Cash Flow) Total Rev - Sponsorship Cost - Marketing Activation Cost - Earnings Before Interest (EBIT) - Taxes = Net Profit (Cash Flow)
What is the correct length of time to calculate CLTV
3-5 yrs best practice
How to calculate Return on $ spent
=Net Revenue / cost =Net Revenue= Revenue - Cost
Profit
=Revenues - Cost -Competing on price leads to death spiral
The marketing behavioral impact model (LAET)
> loyalty > awareness > evaluation > trial >
What is the purpose of a pivot-tables?
A PivotTable is an interactive way to quickly summarize large amounts of data. You can use a PivotTable to analyze numerical data in detail, and answer unanticipated questions about your data. A PivotTable is especially designed for: Querying large amounts of data in many user-friendly ways.
Understand how to calculate CLTV or CTV
CLTV = Contribution margin x retention rate %/ 1+Discount Rate(5) - Retention Rate (%) -cost of service over time contribution margin x (retention rate % /1+discount rate% LTV=C12*c13*C14*C16/C10 = LTV
Take Rate and Web Marketing Measurement
Click Through Rate * Transaction Conversation Rate
How to calculate Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV)
Contribution Margin * (Retention Rate %) / (1+Discount Rate%-Retention Rate %)
linear demand curve
Elastic a straight-line curve; s has a constant slope but usually has a varying price elasticity
How to calculate IRR
In excel use function: =IRR ( range of values of net profit each period)
Power Demand Curve
Inelastic Arc curve; elasticity is not impacted by price
Take Rate
Internal effectiveness of a campaign linked to cost.
Customer Satisfaction (CSAT) Rate
Leading indicator of future sales, linked to future intent
Prescriptive
Now that you know what should likely happen what should you do next? Suggests course of action and outlines what the potential implications will be. a playbook for how to move forward.
Price elasticity calcuation
Price Elasticity = %change in quantity demand / % change in price
Return on Marketing Investment (ROMI)
ROMI (Main formula) = ((income from marketing X - cost of goods - marketing expenditures)/marketing expenditures)*100 ROMI ((Revenue - Investment) /investment) *100
What is the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Rate that money is compounding internally to the campaign
CLTV: How to calculate retention rate
Retention Rate (1 - The churn rate) = Percentage of customers who stay on the platform. Churn Rate(c) = Percentage of customers that leave the platform.
CLTV: How to calculate contribution margin
Revenue earned from serving a customer - VC (Variable Cost) spent in serving the customer = CM
ROMI: Best (top 5%), worst, (bottom 5%) and expected (mean) scenarios
Sensitivity Analysis Use random #s in ROMI formula to generate different outcomes
T/F CSAT is one of the most important marketing metrics
TRUE
T/F Churn rate is an essential loyalty metric?
TRUE
T/F Churn rate is an important indicator of the growth or decline of a company's customer base.
TRUE
T/F Competing on price is often a losing game, marketing to drive profits is a better strategy
TRUE
T/F If IRR is greater than r, accept it, if it is less than r, reject it.
TRUE
T/F Leading firms invest more in branding and customer equity not market share
TRUE
T/F ROMI can be calculated on monthly and annual basis
TRUE
T/F Take rate is an essential marketing performance metric
TRUE
T/F Test-drive is an essential evaluative metric?
TRUE
T/F Management should invest if the NPC is greater than ZERO
TRUE If NPV is greater than zero, the avg benefit is bigger than cost in each time period, taking into account money is worth less in future.
Predicative
Takes historical data and feeds it into a machine to learn model that considers key trends and patterns and makes predictions as to what will happen next. Big picture views of your leads and how likely those leads are moving down the funnel to be converted into customers. What presumably is going to happen.
What is the difference between NPV and CLTV
The CLTV includes the probability the customer will stay
Payback
The time for the cost benefit out to equal the cost -usually not discounted
Transaction Conversion Rate (TCR)
This information would be determined from the number of tickets booked on a website. =% of customers who purchase offer clicking through
Know how to interpret and explain the simple linear regression formula
Y= a + bx x= explanatory value-dependent variable - x-axis-response a= y-intercept - independent variable-explanatory-predictive b=slope R^2=regression the percentage of the variation in the dependent variable explained by the least squares line is known as R^2
Churn rate is a term that refers to the:
a. % rate at which customers leave a product or service
Acquisition Cost (AC) and Take Rate
a. ($ per contact * # contacts)/#accepted offers b. $ per contact / Take Rate
How to calculate Net Present Value Excel
a. (PV-COST) After TAX b. (Year/Period ZERO Net Profit )+ NPV( discount rate, cell range - net profit for each period) c. NVP(discount rate, range of values) + Investment
CSAT and Net Promoter Score
a. Survey: How likely are you to recommend this product or service to a friend or colleague on a scale of 1-10
How to measure brand awareness
a. Surveys - ask customers directly b. Website traffic using Google Analytics c. Search volume data using Google AdWords keyword planner or/and Google Trend d. Measured by asking what is the first company name you think of? e. measured by what other company have you head of? f. Example: Use specific URL or text # to quantify the number of people who acted on it.
Elastic Demand and pricing
a. When elasticity is larger than 1, demand is price elastic b. When demand is price elastic a price cut will increase revenue
How to calculate churn rate
a. customers who leave/existing customers b. calculated annually
What is the purpose of linear regression?
a. determines linear relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variable. b. How price affects demand How does advertising affect sales c. single independent variable (X) (usually price) is used to predict value of independent variable (Y) (units or demand)
What is the "r" in the NPV formula?
a. discount rate b. the rate of return investors expect
Calculating test-drive
a. measure probability of purchase b.conversion rate: # purchases/ test-drive c. marketing campaigns that lead to test drives
Template formula:
a. total cost per transaction = click charge /total volume of booking b. total cost = click charge c. net revenue = amount - total cost d. ROA = Net Revenue / total cost e. average revenue booking = amount / total volume of booking f. take rate = (probability of booking) = CTR x TCR
How to calculate Payback
a. use figures from positive cumulative cash flow b. (Net Profit/Cumulative)/Net Profit c. add qty of years it took to answer from b
inelastic demand and pricing
a. when elasticity is less than 1, demand is price inelastic, b. when demand is price inelastic, a price cut will decrease revenue. (responsiveness)
Brand Awareness
ability to recall product or service
ROMI: Use Incremental Cashflows from new product/campaign to:
calculate 1. NPV 2. IRR 3. Payback
How to calculate Cost Per Click (CPC)
cost of a paid advertising campaign / number of clicks
What is present value?
current value of a future sum of money or stream of cash flows given a specified rate of return.
test-drive
customer pretest of a product or service prior to purchase
Marketing analytics
measures business metrics like traffic, leads and sales and which events both on on and off your website influence whether leads become customers -details with the big data, includes data from your website and other sources such as social media, email, events and blogs - mostly focused on people and is customer0centric giving more emphasis to the prospect, lead or customers.
Web Analysis
measures things a webmaster would care about, like page load times, page views per visit, and time on sites
Descriptive
most of statistical information in newspapers, reports, publication with data summaries, tubular graphical or numerical. What happened in the past can be graphs, charts, reports and dashboards
What is Net Present Value (NPV)?
the NPV of a project or investment is the difference between the present value of its benefits and the present value of its costs (Net Profit w/taxes)