Chapter 6 project management
CPM enabled project managers to ask what-if questions such as ?
"If the project needs to be finished three weeks early, which activities should be speeded up and how much will it cost?"
Lead
"the amount of time whereby a successor activity can be advanced with respect to a predecessor activity."
Duration is
"the total number of work periods (not including holidays or other nonwork periods) required to complete a schedule activity, usually expressed as workdays or workweeks.
Forward Pass
A critical path method technique for calculating the early start and early finish dates by working forward through the schedule model from the project start date or a given point in time.
Backward Pass
A critical path method technique for calculating the late start and late finish dates by working backward through the schedule model from the project end date.
Successor activity
A dependent activity that logically comes after another activity in a schedule.
Finish-to-finish (FF)
A logical relationship in which a successor activity cannot finish until a predecessor activity has finished.
Start-to-Finish (SF)
A logical relationship in which a successor activity cannot finish until a predecessor activity has started.
Finish-to-Start (FS)
A logical relationship in which a successor activity cannot start until a predecessor activity has finished.
Start-to-Start (SS)
A logical relationship in which a successor activity cannot start until a predecessor activity has started.
Critical Path Method
A method used to estimate the minimum project duration and determine the amount of scheduling flexibility on the logical network paths within the schedule model.
Monte Carlo Simulation
A process which generates hundreds or thousands of probable performance outcomes based on probability distributions for cost and schedule on individual tasks. The outcomes are then used to generate a probability distribution for the project as a whole.
Mandatory Dependency
A relationship that is contractually required or inherent in the nature of the work.
Discretionary Dependency
A relationship that is established based on knowledge of best practices within a particular application area or an aspect of the project where a specific sequence is desired.
Predecessor activity
An activity that logically comes before a dependent activity in a schedule.
Advantages of PERT
Calculations indicate that expected time is actually longer than most likely time
Characteristics of activity
Clear starting and ending points Tangible output that can be verified Scope small enough to understand and control without micromanaging Labor, other costs, and schedule that can be estimated and controlled A single person who can be held accountable for each activity
Advantages of Monte Carlo Simulation
Considers all possible results
PERT
Developed to aid understanding of how variability in the duration of individual activities impacts the entire project schedule
The enumeration method focuses only on one critical path. True or False?
False
Steps to develop project schedule
Identify the critical path Determines the earliest possible end date of the project Methods for determining the critical path
Early Start Date (ES)
In the cirtical path method, the earliest possible point in time when the uncompleted portions of a schedule activity can start based on the schedule newtork logic, the date and any schedule constraints.
Early Finish Date (EF)
In the critical path method, the earliest possible point in time when the uncompleted portions of a schedule activity can finish based on the schedule network logic, the data date, and any schedule constraints.
Late Finish Date (LF)
In the critical path method, the latest possible point in time when the uncompleted portions of a schedule activity can finish based on the schedule network logic, the project completion date, and any schedule constraints.
Late start date (LS)
In the critical path method, the latest possible point in time when the uncompleted portions of a schedule activity can start based on the schedule network logic, the project completion date, and any schedule constraints.
Difficulties of PERT
Infrequently used by project managers
Enumeration
List (enumerate) all paths through the network
Difficulties of PERT
May underestimate the risk of a schedule running long
Difficulties of PERT
No guarantee how good the estimates are
Difficulties of PERT
PMs may informally use 3 time estimates for key activities
Advantages of Monte Carlo Simulation
Provides managers with an intuitive grasp of the project's stand-alone risk
Advantages of Monte Carlo Simulation
Reflects the individual probability distribution of each uncertain input variable, along with the correlations among inputs
Advantages of PERT
Reinforces the degree of uncertainty that exists in project schedules
Disadvantages of Monte Carlo Simulation
Special software and skill required for effective use
Difficulties of PERT
Takes more effort to create 3 estimates
Disadvantages of Monte Carlo Simulation
Time necessary to estimate activity duration and range of outcomes
For each activity, the output to be created and the skill level required to perform the work should be identified. True or False
True
two-pass method
Used to determine the amount of slack each activity has Make two logical passes through the constructed network The forward pass The backward pass
Gantt Chart
a bar chart of schedule information where activities are listed on the vertical axis, dates are shown on the horizontal axis, and activity durations are shown as horizontal bars placed according to start and end dates.
PERT and CPM originally used a method for displaying the work activities called a
activity on arrow (AOA) or arrow diagramming method (ADM), in which schedule activities are represented by arrows and connected at points called nodes
A few major milestones are often identified in the project charter,
but quite commonly more milestones are identified during project schedule planning.
It is a good idea to have someone on your project team play devil's advocate to
challenge the team to identify additional activities. It is better to identify activities that do not need to be accomplished than to forget activities that will need to be added later.
Any time a change to an activity on the critical path happens?
changes the end date of the entire project
All assumptions and constraints made when estimating should be documented since if one of these
changes, can change the estimate.
Leads are helpful if a project needs to be
completed quickly since they show how a successor activity can be overlapped with its predecessor instead of waiting until the predecessor is completely finished.
One common strategy for handling Uncertainty in Project Schedules is to
construct the best schedule possible and then manage the project very closely
The basic Gantt chart does not show
critical path, predecessor-successor relationship, or late start and finish dates
An activity is
distinct scheduled portion of work performed during the course of a project.
The communication plan, requirements traceability matrix, and scope statement are often
either complete or at least in draft form at this point.
The primary advantage of PERT is that it helps everyone realize
how much uncertainty exists in the project schedule
Both CPM and PERT were founded on the concepts still in place today of
identifying activities, determining their logical order, and estimating the duration for each.
When estimating how long activities are expected to take, each activity should be evaluated
independently.
Remember the schedule will not be approved until all of the related planning
is in place. It is better to discover a missing activity in the later stages of planning than after the schedule is approved
A common method of determining this sequence
is to put each defined activity on a Post-it Note and to display them on a large work space
Common milestones include completion of a
major deliverable, completion of a critical activity, and the time just before a large amount of money needs to be committed to the project.
If overtime is planned right from the start, the project manager is unlikely to have
much flexibility if the schedule needs to be accelerated.
Activities should be listed in a
noun-verb format such as prepare budget, build frame, test code &analyze data.
the two-pass and enumeration methods. uses the same activity identification, duration estimate, and activity sequencing data but
processes the data in a different manner
Two project scheduling methods were
program evaluation and review technique (PERT) and critical path method.
PERT
sequences activités to a network
For the first estimate of each activity, a normal level of labor and equipment and a normal work week
should be assumed.
advantage of enumeration method
since all of the paths are identified and timed, if a team needs to compress the project schedule, they will know both the critical path and the other paths that may be nearly critical
lag
the amount of time whereby a successor activity is required to be delayed with respect to a predecessor activity.
Because Identifying the critical path is the longest sequence of activities, the critical path determines
the earliest possible end date of the project
A milestone is an important point in a project schedule that
the project sponsor and manager want to use as a checkpoint.
A project manager and team usually develop as much of the schedule as they can based upon the information in
the work breakdown structure (WBS).
If the project being planned is similar to previous projects, the team can look at
those projects both for defining activities and for other planning that follows
Critical path is important because of
time and everyone wants their projects completed at the promised time
When a past project is being used as a guide, the actual time it took to perform the activities should be used, not the
time that was initially estimated.
On many projects, a great deal of
uncertainty exists, and PERT helps to make this visible.