Chapter 17
Phillips Curve
A curve showing the short-run relationship between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate
structural relationship
A relationship that depends on the basic behavior of consumers and firms and remains unchanged over long periods
As of 1993, the Fed sets targets for which of the following in order to achieve price stability and high employment? A. Federal funds rate B. M1 definition of the money supply C. M2 definition of the money supply D. Discount rate
A. Federal funds rate
Why do most economists believe that it is important for a country's central bank to be independent of the rest of the country's central government? A. Independent central banks are more effective at fighting inflation. B. Independent central banks are able to help governments finance budget deficits. C. Independent central banks are more able to stabilize financial markets. D. Independent central banks are able to prevent business cycles.
A. Independent central banks are more effective at fighting inflation
Indicate the two main objections to the idea that the short-run Phillips curve is vertical. A. Workers and firms might not have rational expectations. B. Any wage rising more quickly than the rate of inflation is actually falling. C. Wages tend to adjust quickly. D. Contracts with workers keep wages sticky.
A. Workers and firms might not have rational expectations and D. Contracts with workers keep wages sticky
Economists who believed that the Phillips curve represented a structural relationshipLOADING... believed that the curve represented A. a permanent trade-off between unemployment and inflation. B. a cyclical trade-off between unemployment and inflation. C. a temporary trade-off between unemployment and inflation. D. no trade-off between unemployment and inflation.
A. a permanent trade-off between unemployment and inflation
Economists during the early 1960s thought of the Phillips curve as a "policy menu" because they thought that the Phillips curve A. represented a structural relationship in the economy that would not change as a result of policy changes. B. presented policymakers with a reliable menu of combinations of unemployment and inflation. C. represented a relationship that did not depend on consumers and firms and could change over time. D. represented a direct relationship between unemployment and inflation in the short run.
A. represented a structural relationship in the economy that would not change as a result of policy changes
If, in the long run, real GDP returns to its potential level, then in the long run, A. the Phillips curve is vertical. B. the Phillips curve represents a structural relationship. C. the Phillips curve disappears. D. the Phillips curve is upward sloping.
A. the Phillips curve is vertical
discretion strategy
Allows the Fed to adjust its policies based on changes in the economy
Why doesn't the Phillips curve represent a permanent trade-off between unemployment and inflation in the long run? A. In the long run, aggregate supply is upward sloping. B. In the long run, aggregate supply is vertical. C. In the long run, aggregate demand sets the price level. D. "In the long run, we're all dead."
B. In the long run, aggregate supply is vertical
Slow growth in aggregate demand leads to A. lower unemployment and lower inflation. B. higher unemployment and lower inflation. C. higher unemployment and higher inflation. D. lower unemployment and higher inflation.
B. higher unemployment and lower inflation
When SRAS 1 shifts to SRAS 2, the price level increases and the level of real GDP falls. What happens to the short-run Phillips curve when the short-run aggregate supply curve shifts (a supply shock)? A. It shifts down such that a given level of unemployment occurs at a lower price level. B. It shifts up such that a given level of unemployment occurs at a higher price level. C. It shifts down such that a given level of unemployment occurs at a higher price level. D. It shifts up such that a given level of unemployment occurs at a lower price level.
B. it shifts up such that a given level of unemployment occurs at a higher price level
Models that use factors, such as technology shocks, to explain fluctuations in real GDP instead of changes in the money supply are called A. real technology models. B. real business cycle models. C. real monetary models. D. monetary business cycle models.
B. real business cycle models
Suppose that the inflation rate is increasing each year for a number of years, then A. workers and firms are better off if they ignore the inflation rate completely since they cannot control it anyway. B. real wages will decline substantially and profits will decline because firms will not be able to keep up with inflation by increasing the prices of their products. C. the rational expectations hypothesis is likely to give more accurate forecasts because if workers or firms have rational expectations, then they will use all the available information to forecast future inflation. D. the adaptive expectations hypothesis is likely to give more accurate forecasts because if workers or firms have adaptive expectations, then they will expect the future inflation to follow the pattern of past inflation rates.
C. the rational expectations hypothesis is likely to give more accurate forecasts because if workers or firms have rational expectations, then they will use all the available information to forecast future inflation
If workers and firms have rational expectations, they will A. behave as if they expected the actual inflation rate during one year to continue into the next year; thus, they forecast future rates of inflation based on past rates of inflation. B. ignore the inflation rate since their real wages never keep up with inflation anyway. C. use all available information when forming their expectations of future inflation; thus, the actual inflation rate will be equal to the expected inflation rate. D. depend on rational information about wages and prices and thus often fail to realize that as prices rise, inflation will not increase the average wage in the economy.
C. use all available information when forming their expectations of future inflation; thus, the actual inflation rate will be equal to the expected inflation rate
What is the Fed doing to increase the credibility of its policies? A. Announcing the federal funds target rate. B. Whenever a change in policy is announced, the change actually takes place. C. Conducting more open market purchases of government securities. D. A and B only.
D. A and B only
According to many economists and policymakers, what other options does the Fed have to improve its credibility with workers, firms, and investors? A. Following a discretion strategy. B. Following the Taylor rule. C. Following a rules strategy. D. All of the above.
D. all of the above
The short minus runshort−run Phillips curve is: A. positively sloped. B. the same as the short-run aggregate supply curve. C. horizontal. D. downward sloping.
D. downward sloping
The Phillips curve was developed by A.W. Phillips in 1957 and shows the relationship between unemployment and inflation. The curve, shown at the right, indicates what type of relationship between the two variables? A. No relationship B. Direct relationship C. Positive relationship D. Inverse relationship
D. inverse relationship
In 2010, Congress passed the Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank Act) which A. required Congress to audit certain Fed activities. B. required full disclosure of loan charges. C. reduced the number of Federal Reserve Banks to ten. D. made it much more difficult for the Fed to use a too-big-to-fail policy.
D. made it much more difficult for the Fed to use a too-big-to-fail policy
rational expectations
Expectations formed by using all available information about an economic variable
rules strategy
Following specific and publicly announced guidelines for policy, regardless of the state of the economy
Taylor rule
The Fed sets a target federal funds rate following an equation that includes the inflation rate, the real equilibrium federal funds rate, the "inflation gap," and the "output gap."
natural rate of unemployment
The unemployment rate that exists when the economy is at potential GDP
The short-run Phillips curve exhibits a ______________, whereas the long-run Phillips curve does not.
a trade-off between inflation and unemployment
when aggregate demand increases, unemployment _______ and inflations ________. When aggregate demand decreases, unemployment ________ and inflation _______.
falls; rises; increases; falls
If actual inflation is less than expected inflation, the actual real wage is _______ than the expected real wage, and the unemployment rate _______.
greater; rises
If actual inflation is greater than expected inflation, then the actual real wage is ________ than the expected real wage, and the unemployment rate ________.
less; falls
aggregate demand and aggregate supply model explicitly shows changes in the __________ while the Phillips curve explicitly shows the ___________.
level of real GDP; unemployment rate
when inflation is high, unemployment tends to be_______; when inflation is low, unemployment tends to be ________
low; high
while the aggregate demand and aggregate supply model shows the _________the Phillips curve explicitly shows the _________.
price level; inflation rate
nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment
the unemployment rate at which the inflation rate has no tendency to increase or decrease.
True/False The inverse relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate exists in the short run, but disappears in the long run
true