quiz 2 fashion forecasting
NYT 9) Since "Generation Z takes in information instantaneously, and loses interest just as fast", marketers must do the following to effectively reach this cohort:
"Communicate in five words and a big picture"
naisbitt's megatrends
1. move towards an info based economy 2. the dual compensations of high tech and high touch products 3. shift to global economy 4. shift away from hierarchical structures in favor of informal networks 5. shift from an either/or to a multiple option society
how long does it take for a lifestyle trend to make it though all markets
10 years; faith popcorn
first apparel forcast year
1917
long term predictions
5+ years
The purpose of the apparel supply chain is to:
A and B
Why have niche products have been more profitable in recent years?
A and C
In what order did the evolution of the four waves of the demand-activated system occur
A) Markets of One- 4 B) Building an Information Infrastructure- 1 C) Focusing on the Consumer- 3 D) Time Efficiencies and Inventory Reduction- 2
A consumer develops brand loyalty through a value equation/proposition consisting of the following factors influencing purchasing decisions:
All of the above
An omnichannel retail strategy:
All of the above
Collaborative Filtering is:
All of the above
Competitive analysis allows companies to:
All of the above
Forecasters look for the following to help them filter trends from streams of information:
All of the above
In Stan Davis' book "Blur", executives will need to adjust to the following to succeed in our connected society:
All of the above
NYT 1) The key point(s) of this article are:
All of the above
NYT 7) "Generation Z" has been identified as:
All of the above
NYT 8) Core values of Generation Z include:
All of the above
NYT2) Cultural events in 2015 that highlight an emphasis on reinvention include
All of the above
Retail anthropology:
All of the above
Tastemakers in the economy of variety and choice (the long-tail demand curve) are:
All of the above
Which information gathering activities could be considered unethical?
All of the above
Which of the following are "megatrends" identified by Naisbitt (1982) in his groundbreaking book:
All of the above
Which trends does Popcorn identify in her book Clicking? (1997)
All of the above
Competitors that sell products that a large segment of a company's consumer would like to own but cannot afford to purchase are called:
Aspirational Customers
Why is long-term forecasting important?
Because long-term forecasting picks up trends associated with changes in lifestyle.
Competitive analysis involves monitoring both business rivals and:
Business to business partners
What phrase did Popcorn use to describe an emerging stay-at-home syndrome she identified in the early 80s?
Cacooning
Which of the following is not likely to provide forecasters with hints about future cultural trends:
Celebrities lifestyle
Forecasting is a business tool that seeks to recognize when one company is in a more favorable position than its rivals. The company's favorable position is called:
Competitive Advantage
When a forecaster becomes a detective using public sources to develop a detailed and accurate view of the market environment and what competitors are likely to do, the technique is called:
Competitive Inteligence
Classifying data by topic and reliability, to evaluate implications
Content Analysis
Recruiting young people to search for trends by observing other young people's fashion behavior is an example of
Cool-hunting
According to Faith Popcorn, the consumer's focus on fitness and the growth of demand for premium ice cream is an example of :
Counter trends
Trends that are inconsistent with or contradict another trend are called:
Counter-trends
The long-term forecaster looks for directional pointers for the way a whole society is moving. Such movement is called:
Cultural drift
The basis for consumer segmentation and most consumer research strategies:
Demographics
Competitors that sell the same product category to the same customers in the same channel of distribution are termed:
Direct Competitors
Which Popcorn trend identifies the demand for customized products?
Egonomics
According to Anderson, having increased choice stimulates users to sample fewer products.
F
In relational marketing, consumer segments are more predictive of future purchases than individual consumer preferences.
F
Seasonal and industry trends continue as the most important influence on developing apparel and products to meet consumer wants, needs and aspirations.
F
The demand-activated business model is an example of retail's "Push" system.
F
The results of qualitative research are reported in statistics/numerical data.
F
For "Best-Practice" benchmarking, companies focus solely on the business practices of their direct competitors
False
Forecaster Faith Popcorn (1991), estimates that it takes about 20 years for a trend to work through the culture and reach all market levels.
False
In 2025, companies will continue to target the 18-34 age group as the most important age demographic
False
Millenials drive 20% of all household purchases.
False
To forecast trends early enough to impact strategic planning, long-term forecasters focus on style trends
False
A method of researching the competition using direct observation and interviews:
Fieldwork
If an apparel executive wants to hear a group of consumers discuss preferences, styles, and brands, that executive will hire a consumer researcher to conduct a:
Focus Group
In 1982 John Naisbitt forecast a megatrend that is still in today's forecasts. He said that an increase in technology products would be paired with a trend for products with soft contours and cozy, handmade, or artsy aspects. He called these parallel requirements:
High tech and high touch.
Which populations will double by the year 2025?
Hispanic and Asian
Analyzing data that do not fit expectations
Information Gap Analysis
4.8 The process of using mass production techniques but providing customers with one-of-a-kind products is called:
Mass customization
A trend that is likely to take as long as 10 years to work through the culture is termed:
Megatrand
NYT 6) Dictionary.com defines "code-switching" as:
Modifying one's behavior to adapt to different socio-cultural norms
Brands sold to retailers through the wholesale market and carried by many retailers who compete in the same market
National brands
Brands that are changing the competitive landscape by opening their own free-standing stores
National brands
The Zandl Group has a nationwide network of young people between the ages of 8 and 24. Every month a group of these young people are asked survey questions. This form of consumer research is called:
Panel Study
What form of consumer research asks questions of a group of people over time in order to track changes in consumer attitudes and opinions?
Panel Study
The term 'conspicuous cyber-consumer' refers to a consumer who:
Participates interactively on fashion websites
Having background and historical data makes it much more likely that executives will use this type of analysis successfully
Pattern Recognization
Brands owned by retailers and merchandised in that retailer's stores along with other brands
Private label brands
Brands that generally retail for 20% less than comparable national brands
Private label brands
Consumer segmentation can be based on lifestyle information, attitudes, and preferences. The term for this kind of information is:
Psychographics
As part of competitive analysis, the researcher buys and dismantles a competitor's product to discover how it was designed and constructed:
Reverse Engineering
Reviewing competitor information to identify weaknesses that provide market opportunities
SWOT Analysis
A person who appears to be just another shopper is actually watching and reporting on the way a retail store operates as part of competitive research.
Secrete Shopper
Products developed and sold only through a company's own stores
Store Brands
Brand segment pioneered by Les Wexner with the launch of The Limited in 1963
Store brands
Data gathering methods associated with quantitative (as opposed to qualitative) research includes:
Surveys, panel studies, and in-store experiments such as style testing
Chris Anderson's "Long Tail" demand curve identifies a marketplace where a few items will generate high volume sales, but many more items will sell fewer units to niche audiences.
T
John Naisbitt's methodology included gathering data from over 6000 local newspapers each month.
T
Long-term forecasting "translates" broad directional tendencies into an understanding of how they will affect consumer preferences and behavior.
T
Mid-size companies require competitive information to function in a climate of acquisition.
T
Several futurists predict the emergence of less hierarchical, more informal work environments that are compatible with the way women behave and think.
T
The premise of Popcorn's book "Clicking" is that business concepts must "click" with or link to trends to be successful
T
A store set up by a manufacturer to gather information about what products, packaging, and promotions appeal to customer by watching sales is called:
Test store
NYT 4) According to the American Dialect Society, the "2015 Word of the Year" is:
They
NYT 5) The 2015 "Word of the Year" applies to those who identify out of the traditional gender binary.
True
A new generational cohort emerging in the "90's defines the "New" American Dream as:
Valuing experiences and spiritual growth over material wealth
According to Anderson, what behavior do consumers exhibit in a world of instant access to infinite inventory?
Variety seeking behavior
color direction
a change in color temperature, value, or hue, or intensity
Hue
a color in its purest form
shade
a color with black added
tint
a color with white added
lab dip
a sample dyeing from a mill for the product developer to approve the color
status markers
accessories, details, and items that stick out and shows you are upper class and wealthy
alpha luxe
alpha + luxury, used to describe a style of luxury that is dominant, powerful, and singular in terms of its visual statement and aesthetic presence
navigating change in a trend
avoid obstacles, find priorities; takes a megatrend for a trend to reach all market levels
blingmalism
bing and minimalism; less bling but more statement pieces
color way
color group or combo
colors and ethnicity
colors are a representation of a country's personality or ethnicity
analogous
colors right beside eachother
complementary colors
colors that are directly across eachother in the color wheel
differentiation and imitation
designers are trying to differentiate themselves from retailers and retailers are trying imitate
cultural drift
directional pointers for the way society is moving
color forecasts
don't force colors on people; they release colors when consumers are ready for them
erogenous zones
emphasizing certain areas of the body to become the focus of erotic attention
where do most colors get their name from
environment
slash slash generation
everyone is trying to be multiple things at once
cocooning
faith popcorn; staying at home a lot in a haven away from work
trickle across theory
fashion goes horizontally within separate economic classes of people; leadership within each social class Jackie kennedy and the pill box hat--everyone had one
instabilities in social system
gender, age, attractiveness, ethnicity
homesteading
having just enough of what you need; tiny homes and the stuff you can fit in it
cultural trends arise from
high culture: fine and performance art low culture: activities locally by special interest groups pop culture: movies, tv, music, celebrities
saturation
how intense the color is
value
how light or dark a color is
time lags
how long it takes for a trend to be adopted by consumers after it is seen on the runway
female think
idea that women are more comfortable in an environment that is compatible with the way they think and behave
lavers gap in appreciation timeline
indecent...10 years before it is cool shameless...5 years before outre...1 year before smart...current dowdy...I year after it is cool hideous...10 years after ridiculous...20 years after amusing...30 years after quaint...50 after charming...70 after romantic...100 after beautiful...150 after
kids and color
kids like brighter colors more than adults
knockoff
looks the same different fabric
trickle up theory
lower classes influence the classes above it; street style; combat boots, camo, flannel
athleisure
makes it less obvious what social class you belong to; spans all social classes
what is most closely related to fashion colors
makeup
long term forecast consists of
media scan, interviewing, observation
classics on the pendulum swing
middle between casual and formal
normcore
normal and hardcore; edgy but refined and normal; unisex clothing; trickle across
color foreward
people that are the first to wear a new color
fashion victim
people that are trying to be too fashionable and wearing all trends at once
gradation
plant term; ombre
egonomics
products that are customized to an individual to offset the impersonal feel of modern culture
reverse ostentation
purposefully trying not to fit in with your peers; wealthy people not wanting to hang out with other wealthy people
neoretro
recycling ideas from the past and adding something new to it
online access and connectivitiy
shrinks space and barriers
conspicuous counterconsumption
status denial of the wealthy; they dress down and do not show their wealth
color loyals
stick with classic colors
fashion count
tally to see how many of something you see on the street or in a magazine
critics of the trickle down theory
that the elite doesn't consistently set the styles that it is difficult to identify the elite that it over simplifies the social system
split complementary
the colors to the right and left of the complementary color
anti fashion individuals
the conscious neglect of fashion
fantasy adventure
the consumer's need for excitement and stimulation without sacrificing safety and security
clanning
the tendency for people to group together around a shared common interest
waning trends
trends going out of style; important to see that consumers and losing interest so you can get rid of the product
counter trends
trends that contrast with another prevailing set of trends, both of which offer opportunities for businesses because of the contradictory aspects of human behavior; going to chickfila after working out
trickle down theory
upper class creates the fashions and then it trickles down to the lower classes
conspicuous consumption
upper class spending money on high fashion and home furnishings and using expensive modes of production for the clothing
mass customization
using mass production techniques to deliver customized goods; stan davis
color prudents
wait until the color is widespread before wearing it
achromatic colors
white black grey
when youth dominates fashion
you will see more revolutionary fashions that are strange or risky