AGB 302: Week 5 Quiz
Assume that the current exchange rate is 1 = $1.50. If you exchange 1,000 euros for dollars, you will receive ________.
$1,500
The U.S. and Canada would benefit from NAFTA because of
-Access to a large and prosperous market -Lower prices for consumers from goods produced in Mexico -Low cost labor and the ability to be more competitive on world markets
Mercosur
-Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay -May be diverting trade rather than creating trade, and local firms are investing in industries that are not competitive on a worldwide basis
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
-Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos, and Cambodia -Wants to foster freer trade between member countries and to achieve some cooperation in their industrial policies
Single European Act
-Committed the EC countries to work toward establishment of a single market by December 31, 1992
The main institutions in the EU:
-European Council -European Commission -European Parliament -Court of Justice
Foreign Exchange Market
-Is used to convert the currency of one country into the currency of another -Provides some insurance against foreign exchange risk
Critics of NAFTA claim that
-Jobs would be lost and wage levels would decline in the U.S. and Canada -Pollution would increase due to Mexico's more lax standards -Mexico would lose its sovereignty
What does economic integration mean for managers?
-Opens new markets -Allows firms to realize cost economies by centralizing production in those locations where the mix of factor costs and skills is optimal
Benefits of the euro
-Savings from having to handle one currency, rather than many -It is easier to compare prices across Europe, so firms are forced to be more competitive
North American Free Trade Area
-United States, Canada, and Mexico -Abolished tariffs on 99% of the goods traded between members -Protects intellectual property rights
Three factors that impact future exchange rate movements
1. A country's price inflation 2. A country's interest rate 3. Market psychology
To minimize transaction and translation exposure, managers should
1. Buy forward 2. Use swaps 3. Lead and lag payables and receviables
Managers need to consider these three types of foreign exchange risk:
1. Transaction exposure 2. Translation exposure 3. Economic exposure
Country X and Country Y reach an agreement to boost bilateral trade. They agree to remove all barriers to the trade of goods and services. They, however, are free to determine their own trade policies with regard to nonmembers. Which level of economic integration is this an example of?
A Free trade area
Capital Flight
A large and sudden reduction in the demand for assets located in a country
Efficient Markets
A market with no impediments to the free flow of goods and services
Which feature of a common market differentiates it from a customs union?
Ability of factors of production to move freely between members
Which of the following refers to the simultaneous purchase and sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two different value dates?
Currency swap
Vehicle Currency
Currency used as an intermediary to convert funds between two other currencies
Free Trade Area
Eliminates all barriers to the trade of goods and services among member countries
Customs Union
Eliminates trade barriers between member countries and adopts a common external trade policy
The movement toward regional economic integration been most successful in ________.
Europe
The emerging role of the ________ in competition policy suggests the EU is increasingly willing and able to intervene and impose conditions on companies proposing mergers and acquisitions.
European Commission
The ________ is primarily a consultative rather than legislative body.
European Parliament
Europe's two trade blocs
European Union and European Free Trade Area
A currency is ______________ when non-residents can convert their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency, but when the ability of residents to convert currency is limited in some way.
Externally convertible
Forward Exchanges
Firms engage in this to insure or hedge against a possible adverse foreign exchange rate movement
________ are exchange rates governing some specific future date foreign exchange transactions.
Forward exchange rates
Efficient Market School
Forward exchange rates do the best possible job of forecasting future spot exchange rates, and, therefore, investing in forecasting services would be a waste of money
A currency is _______________ when a government of a country allows both residents and non-residents to purchase unlimited amounts of foreign currency with the domestic currency.
Freely convertible
Common Market
Has no barriers to trade between member countries, a common external trade policy, and the free movement of the factors of production
Economic Union
Has the free flow of products and factors of production between members, a common external trade policy, a common currency, a harmonized tax rate, and a common monetary and fiscal policy
A country with ____________ inflation should see its currency depreciate relative to others.
High
A(n) ________ has no barriers to trade between member countries, includes a common external trade policy, and allows factors of production to move freely between members.
common market
Linking neighboring countries economically and making them interdependent:
creates incentives to increase political cooperation as well.
The short-term movement of funds from one currency to another in the hopes of profiting from shifts in exchange rates is known as:
currency speculation.
A(n) ________ entails even closer economic integration and cooperation than a common market.
economic union
Assuming the 30-day forward exchange rate was $1 = ×130 and the spot exchange rate was $1 = ×120, the dollar is selling at a ________ on the 30-day forward market.
premium
The ________ is the rate at which a foreign exchange dealer converts one currency into another currency on a particular day.
spot exchange rate
Translation Exposure
The impact of currency exchange rate changes on the reported financial statements of a company
Arbitrage
The process of buying a currency low and selling it high
Spot Exchange rate
The rate at which a foreign exchange dealer converts one currency into another currency on a particular day
Exchange Rate
The rate at which one currency is converted into another
What is the risk of economic integration for managers?
The risk of being shut out of the single market by the creation of a "trade fortress"
Currency Speculation
The short-term movement of funds from one currency to another in the hopes of profiting from shifts in exchange rates
Currency Swap
The simultaneous purchase and sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two different value dates
Court of Justice
The supreme appeals court for EU law
European Council
The ultimate controlling authority within the EU
CARICOM
To establish a customs unit
Caribbean Single Market and Economy (CSME)
To lower trade barriers and harmonize macroeconomic and monetary policy between members
Central American Trade Agreement (CAFTA)
To lower trade barriers between the U.S. and members
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
U.S., Canada, and Mexico
Hedging
When a firm is insuring itself against foreign exchange risk
Assume that the law of one price holds. A shirt that retails for $120 in New York sells for £60 in London. The exchange rate between the British pound and the dollar is £1 = $1.50. Assuming away transportation costs and trade barriers, this creates a profit-making opportunity called ________.
arbitrage
Regional Economic Integration
Agreements between countries in a geographic region to reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers to the free flow of goods, services, and factors of production between each other
Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP)
Argues that given relatively efficient markets, the price of a "basket of goods" should be roughly equivalent in each country
The ________ was established to increase multinational cooperation in view of the economic rise of the Pacific nations and the growing interdependence within the region.
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
Lead Strategy
Attempt to collect foreign currency receivables early when a foreign currency is expected to depreciate and pay foreign currency payables before they are due when a currency is expected to appreciate
Countertrade
Barter-like agreements where goods and services are traded for other goods and services
Andean Community
Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru
Technical Analysis
Charts trends with the assumption that past trends and waves are reasonable predictors of future trends and waves
Maastricht Treaty
Committed the EU to adopt a single currency
Inefficient Market School
Companies can improve the foreign exchange market's estimate of future exchange rates by investing in forecasting services
European Parliament
Debates legislation proposed by the commission and forwarded to it by the council
Lag Strategy
Delay collection of foreign currency receivables if that currency is expected to appreciate and delay payables if the currency is expected to depreciate
Three long-term EU members, Great Britain, ________, and Sweden, have not adopted the euro.
Denmark
Fundamental Analysis
Draws upon economic factors like interest rates, monetary policy, inflation rates, or balance of payments information to predict exchange rates
Regional economic integration is only beneficial
If the amount of trade it creates exceeds the amount it diverts
Mexico would benefit from NAFTA because of
Increased jobs as low cost production moves south and will see more rapid economic growth as a result
Political Union
Involves a central political apparatus that coordinates the economic, social, and foreign policy of member states
How well does PPP work?
It is more accurate in the long run, and for countries with high inflation and underdeveloped capital markets
Which of the following is the most important foreign exchange trading center?
London
A currency is ______________ when both residents and non-residents are prohibited from converting their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency.
Nonconvertible
European Free Trade Association (EFTA)
Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Switzerland
Free Trade of The Americas (FTAA)
Not established -U.S. wants stricter enforcement of intellectual property rights -Brazil and Argentina want the US to eliminate agricultural subsidies and tariffs
Bandwagon Effect
Occurs when expectation on the part of traders turn into self-fulfilling prophecies
Trade Diversion
Occurs when higher cost suppliers within the free trade area replace lower cost external suppliers
Trade Creation
Occurs when low cost producers within the free trade area replace high cost domestic producers
Inefficient Market
One in which prices do not reflect all available information
Efficient Market
One in which prices reflect all available information
EU is not an
Optimal currency area
A _____________ relationship exists between the inflation rate and the level of money supply.
Positive
The devastation of two world wars on Western Europe ___________________.
Prompted the formation of the EU
European Commission
Responsible for proposing EU legislation, implementing it, and monitoring compliance with EU laws by member states
Andean Pact (Andean Community)
Signed an agreement with Mercosur to restart negotiations towards the creation of a free trade area
International Fisher Effect
States that for any two countries the spot exchange rate should change in an equal amount but in the opposite direction to the difference in nominal interest rates between two countries
Law of One Price
States that in competitive markets free of transportation costs and barriers to trade, identical products sold in different countries must sell for the same price when their price is expressed in terms of the same currency
Treaty of Rome
The European Economic Community was formed here with the goal of becoming a common market
Foreign Exchange Risk
The adverse consequences of unpredictable changes in exchange rates
Exchange rates are determined by
The demand and supply for different currencies
Assume that an American company today invests some of its spare cash in a Hungarian money market account that will earn 8 percent for a period of two months. Which of the following, if it happens during the next two months, would imply that the company will earn less than 8 percent on its investment?
The dollar appreciates against the Hungarian forint.
If the demand for dollars outstrips its supply and if the supply of Japanese yen is greater than the demand for it, what will happen?
The dollar will appreciate against the yen
Economic Exposure
The extent to which a firm's future international earning power is affected by changes in exchange rates
Transaction Exposure
The extent to which the income from individual transactions is affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values
