Macroeconomic Concepts Overview
why do recessions happen?
-demand for labor falls -downward wage rigidity causes employment and output to fall
What was the economic cause of the Great Depression
-economists do not have a definite reason why the "short-run" fluctuation lasted so long -reason we have macroeconomics
what are the three schools of thought as to why recessions happen?
1. real business cycles 2. Keynesian theory 3. financial and monetary theory
what is the average time between recessions in the US?
5.5 years
involving fiscal policy:
A tax cut is proposed in Congress. The tax cut is passed by Congress and signed by the president.
Asset Liquidity
Ability of an asset to be used as payment.
Cyclically Adjusted Deficit
Adjusted deficit reached -7.5% of GDP in 2009.
Neutral Monetary Policy
Adopted at 2% inflation and 3.4% unemployment.
Money Market Changes Impact
Balances shift without affecting M1 and M2 supplies.
Independent Agency
Basic nature of the Federal Reserve System.
Federal Reserve Governors
Board has 7 members overseeing monetary policy.
Federal Reserve Board Members
Board has 7 members with 14-year terms.
Central Banking Authority
Board of Governors oversees U.S. banking system.
Purchasing Power
Decreases with an excessive money supply increase.
Which of the following statements is correct? Other things equal:
Deflation will shift both the transactions demand curve for money and the total money demand curve to the left.
Public Debt Contributors
Demand-pull inflation historically not significant.
Budget Deficit Definition
Excess of government spending over revenues.
Exclusion of Time Deposits
Excluded from M1 due to non-immediate exchange use.
Consumer Expectations
Expectation of higher future income leads to current spending.
Bond Prices
Fall when money supply is reduced.
Quantitative Tightening
Fed's plan to end monetary stimulus and raise interest rates.
QE Restart
Fed's response to COVID recession, buying $3 trillion in bonds.
2009 Recovery Act
Implemented $787 billion tax cuts and expenditure increases.
Money Supply (M1)
Includes coins, paper money, checkable, and savings deposits.
Cost of Holding Money
Includes sacrificing interest income.
M2 Money Supply Inclusion
Includes shares in money market mutual funds.
Net Exports Shift
Increase shifts AD curve right by multiple of change.
Interest Rate Decrease Impact
Increases Ig values and aggregate demand.
Government Securities Purchase
Increases money supply, paid with newly created money.
Inflation Impact on Money
Inflation hinders money's exchange acceptance.
Money Power and Price Level
Inversely related: money power vs. price level.
Discretionary Fiscal Policy
Involves specific changes in taxes and government spending for stabilization.
Which of the following best describes the effect of the zero-interest rate policy implemented in December 2008?
Its effectiveness was limited by the zero lower bound problem. increase the interest rate, reduce investment, and reduce aggregate demand
Money as Store of Value
Keeps wealth spendable for future use.
Concern of Large Public Debt
Legitimate concern: crowding out private investment.
Zero-Interest Rate Policy
Limited by the zero lower bound problem.
Money Supply Components
M1 includes coins, currency, and checkable deposits.
Public Debt Increase
May have minimal impact during severe depression.
Federal Reserve Board Appointment
Members appointed by president with Senate confirmation.
Real Burden of Public Debt
Minimal burden in severe economic depression.
Equilibrium Price Level
Occurs where aggregate demand and supply curves intersect.
Independence of Federal Reserve
Operates as an independent agency.
Currency in Circulation
Part of both M1 and M2 money supplies.
Aggregate Supply Shift
Price level increase does not shift the curve.
Unit of Account
Primary use of money when estimating expenses.
Aggregate Demand Decrease
Results in output decline with unchanged price level.
Interest Rate
Rises if money demand exceeds supply, leading to reduced money holdings.
Fiscal Policy Sequence
Rising consumption leads to economic recovery.
Mortgage-backed Securities
Securities backed by mortgage payments.
Board of Governors
Seven members appointed by the president, confirmed by the Senate.
Aggregate Supply Curve
Shifts left if the U.S. dollar depreciates.
Crowding-out Effect
Strongest at full employment, affecting private investment.
Crowding-Out Effect
Strongest at full employment, reduces private investment.
Public Debt Reduction Scenario
Surplus with higher tax revenues reduces debt.
Fractional Reserve Banking
System allows banks to create money through lending.
Financial Rescue Moral Hazard
TARP rescue may encourage future risk-taking.
When the Fed buys government securities:
They know that the increase in demand generated by the purchases will raise the equilibrium price of those bonds and therefore decrease their equilibrium interest rate.
Price Stability Measures
To maintain stability, increase taxes or reduce government spending.
Federal Funds Target Range
Typically a quarter-of-a-percent wide.
If you are estimating your total expenses for school next semester, you are using money primarily as:
a unit of account.
The seven members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are:
appointed by the president with the confirmation of the Senate.
When does expansions happen?
between recessions when GDP is growing
Other things equal, if the supply of money is reduced:
bond prices will fall.
In the United States, the money supply (M1) includes:
coins, paper money, checkable deposits, and savings deposits
The U.S. public debt:
consists of the historical accumulation of all past federal deficits and surpluses.
Other things equal, an excessive increase in the money supply will:
decrease the purchasing power of each dollar.
co-movement of economic patterns
different economic aggregates tend to move together
The crowding-out effect of expansionary fiscal policy suggests that:
government spending increases at the expense of private investment
It is costly to hold money because:
in doing so, one sacrifices interest income.
The Federal Reserve System:
is basically an independent agency
The largest component of the money supply (M1) is:
liquid deposits other than checkable deposits at commercial banks.
The real burden of an increase in the public debt:
may be very small or conceivably zero when the economy is in a severe depression.
If the inflation rate was on target at 2 percent and the unemployment rate was 3.4 percent, the Fed would likely adopt a(n):
neutral monetary policy
downward wage rigidity applies to:
nominal wages
Suppose the demand for money and the supply of money increase simultaneously. We can:
not accurately predict what will happen to interest rates or bond prices.
Which of the following is not a main weakness of monetary policy?
the administrative lag.
What is meant by "peak to trough"?
the high point on a graph just before a recession
If the Federal Reserve System buys government securities:
the money supply will increase
Quantitative Easing
Fed's response to the zero lower bound problem.
Vault Currency Exclusion
First National Bank vault currency not in money supply.
Price and Wage Flexibility
Flexible upward but inflexible downward.
Crowding-out Effect of Fiscal Policy
Government spending rise reduces private investment.
Money Supply Backing
Government's control maintains money value stability.
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
Implemented a $787 billion stimulus package in 2009.
The Fed's response to the zero lower bound problem was:
quantitative easing.
securities purchase:
will automatically increase the money supply because the Fed will pay for those them with newly created money.
Checkable Deposits Importance
Checkable deposits are a significant part of M1.
Checkable Deposits Classification
Classified as money due to ease of use in transactions.
Coins in Circulation
Coins contribute to both M1 and M2 supplies.
Political Business Cycle
Economic manipulation for political gain.
Deflation
Shifts money demand curves left due to decreased transactions.
Cyclical Asymmetry
Main weakness of monetary policy.
Investment Demand Curve
Can frustrate expansionary monetary policy if it shifts left.
Money Market Deposit Accounts
Part of M2 money supply only.
Built-in Stability Enhancement
Tax system change for increased economic stability.
Money as Unit of Account
Used to estimate expenses, a financial measure.
Long-run Aggregate Supply
Vertical due to flexible input/output prices for full-employment.
In a fractional reserve banking system:
banks can create money through the lending process.
are real consumption growth and real investment growth directly related or inversely related?
directly, when consumption increases, investment increases (most common situation)
The Fed's monetary policy response at the onset of the COVID recession included:
reinitiating QE by buying $3 trillion in longer-term bonds.