291 information test 2
random variable
A function that assigns numerical values to the outcomes of an experiment, denoted by uppercase letters (e.g., X )
risk neutral
Consumers that are indifferent to risk. They always choose the option with the largest expected value, regardless of its risk
Risk Averse:
If a number of options have similar expected values, they choose the one with the lowest risk, SD(X). If there is only 1 choice, then it should have a positive expected value and little risk
Two key properties of discrete probability distributions:
The probability of each value x is a value between 0 and 1. 0<_ p( X=x)<_1 2. The sum of the probabilities equals 1. ∑P(X = xi ) =1
risk loving
They will choose an option with negative expected value if one of its possible outcomes is large, but risky.
discrete
assume a countable number
Continuous
can be any of an infinite number of possible values within any interval.
Bernoulli process
consists of a series of n independent and identical trials of an experiment.
binomial random variable
is the number of successes in n trials of a Bernoulli process.
Two parameters are required to specify the binomial probability distribution:
n = the number of trials p = the probability of a success on any one trial
( BP) There are only two possible outcomes on each trial:
p = probability of a success 1−p = probability of a failure
uniform distribution
probability are all the same