Chapter 4 basic concepts of probabilty

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For a certain horse race, the odds in favor of a certain horse finishing in second place are given as 71 to 29. Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1 inclusive.

0.71

In a particular survey of internet​ users, 3782 respondents say that they use social networking sites and 1481 respondents say that they do not use social networking sites. What is the probability that a randomly selected person uses a social networking​ site? Does that result suggest that it is likely​ (with a probability of 0.5 or​ greater) for someone to use social networking​ sites?

0.719 Yes, because the probability of a respondent using social media is greater than 0.5

In a genetics experiment on​ peas, one sample of offspring contained 368 green peas and 127 yellow peas. Based on those​ results, estimate the probability of getting an offspring pea that is green. Is the result reasonably close to the value of 34 that was​ expected?

0.743 yes it is reasonably close

Among 350 randomly selected drivers in the 16−18 age​ bracket, 283 were in a car crash in the last year. If a driver in that age bracket is randomly​ selected, what is the approximate probability that he or she will be in a car crash during the next​ year? Is it unlikely for a driver in that age bracket to be involved in a car crash during a​ year? Is the resulting value high enough to be of concern to those in the 16−18 age​ bracket? Consider an event to be​ "unlikely" if its probability is less than or equal to 0.05.

0.809 Would it be unlikely for a driver in that age bracket to be involved in a car crash this​ year? No Part 3 Is the probability high enough to be of concern to those in the 16−18 age​ bracket? yes

Homework:17. Module 4: Basic Concepts of Probability Question 15, 4.1.21 Part 2 of 2 HW Score: 93.87%, 93.87 of 100 points Points: 3 of 3 Save Question content area top Part 1 In a test of a​ gender-selection technique, results consisted of 254 baby girls and 15 baby boys. Based on this​ result, what is the probability of a girl born to a couple using this​ technique? Does it appear that the technique is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a​ girl?

0.944 yes

Assume that boys and girls are equally likely. Find the probability that when a couple has three​ children, there are exactly 0 boys.

1/8

Which of the following values cannot be​ probabilities? 0.09​, 2​, 5/3​, 0​, 1​, 3/5​, 1.18​, square root of two

5/3, -0.58, 1.18, square root of 2

On their first​ date, Kelly asks Mike to guess the date of her​ birth, not including the year. Complete parts a through c below.

. What is the probability that Mike will guess​ correctly? (Ignore leap​ years.) 1/365 ​(Type an integer or a simplified​ fraction.) Part 2 b. Would it be unlikely for him to guess correctly on his first​ try? D. ​Yes, it is unlikely for Mike to guess correctly on his first​ try, as the probability of a correct guess is very low. Your answer is correct. Part 3 c. If you were​ Kelly, and Mike did guess correctly on his first​ try, would you believe his claim that he made a lucky​ guess, or would you be convinced that he already knew when you were​ born? Mike already knew, as the probability of a correct guess is very low.

It is impossible to get 7 kings when selecting cards from a shuffled deck. Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1 inclusive

0

In a certain study, the chances of encountering a car crash on the road are stated as "1 in 20​." Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1 inclusive.

0.05

Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1. When using a computer to randomly generate the last digit of a phone number to be called for a​ survey, there is 1 chance in 10 that the last digit is zero.

0.1

In a certain study, the chances of encountering a car crash on the road are stated as 30 out of 100. Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1 inclusive

0.3

Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1. Based on a survey of hiring managers who were asked to identify the biggest mistakes that job candidates make during an​ interview, there is a 50-50 chance that they will identify​ "inappropriate attire."

0.5

For a certain true or false test question, the odds of a random guess being correct are given as 50 to 50. Express the indicated degree of likelihood as a probability value between 0 and 1 inclusive.

0.5

In a test of a​ gender-selection technique, results consisted of 214 baby girls and 199 baby boys. Based on this​ result, what is the probability of a girl born to a couple using this​ technique? Does it appear that the technique is effective in increasing the likelihood that a baby will be a​ girl?

0.518 no

Assume that 1200 births are randomly selected and 591 of the births are girls. Use subjective judgment to describe the number of girls as significantly​ high, significantly​ low, or neither significantly low nor significantly high

The number of girls is neither significantly low nor significantly high.

Four of the 50 digital video recorders​(DVRs) in an inventory are known to be defective. What is the probability that a randomly selected item is​defective?

The probability is 0.08. ​(Type an integer or a decimal. Do not​ round.)

Let A denote the event of placing a ​$1 straight bet on a certain lottery and winning. Suppose​ that, for this particular​ lottery, there are 8,000 different ways that you can select the four digits​ (with repetition​ allowed) in this​ lottery, and only one of those​ four-digit numbers will be the winner. What is the value of​ P(A)? What is the value of ​P(A​)?

What is the value of​ P(A)? ​P(A)=.00013 ​(Round to five decimal places as​ needed.) Part 2 What is the value of ​P(A​)? ​P(A​)=0.99987 ​(Round to five decimal places as​ needed.)

Homework:17. Module 4: Basic Concepts of Probability Question 21, 4.1.27 Part 3 of 3 HW Score: 93.87%, 93.87 of 100 points Points: 4 of 4 Save Question content area top Part 1 Each of two parents has the genotype red/blond​, which consists of the pair of alleles that determine hair color​, and each parent contributes one of those alleles to a child. Assume that if the child has at least one red ​allele, that color will dominate and the​ child's hair color will be red. a. List the different possible outcomes. Assume that these outcomes are equally likely. b. What is the probability that a child of these parents will have the blond/blond ​genotype? c. What is the probability that the child will have red hair color​?

a) Red/ red, red/ blond, blond/ red, and blond/ blond b/ the probability that the child of these parents will have the blond/ blond genotype is 0.25 c) the prob that the child will have red hair color is 0.75

Men have XY​ (or YX) chromosomes and women have XX chromosomes.​ X-linked recessive genetic diseases​ (such as juvenile​ retinoschisis) occur when there is a defective X chromosome that occurs without a paired X chromosome that is not defective. Represent a defective X chromosome with lowercase​ x, so a child with the xY or Yx pair of chromosomes will have the disease and a child with XX or XY or YX or xX or Xx will not have the disease. Each parent contributes one of the chromosomes to the child. Complete parts a through d below.

a. If a father has the defective x chromosome and the mother has good XX​ chromosomes, what is the probability that a son will inherit the​ disease? 0 ​(Type an integer or a decimal. Do not​ round.) Part 2 b. If a father has the defective x chromosome and the mother has good XX​ chromosomes, what is the probability that a daughter will inherit the​ disease? 0 ​(Type an integer or a decimal. Do not​ round.) Part 3 c. If a mother has one defective x chromosome and one good X chromosome and the father has good XY​ chromosomes, what is the probability that a son will inherit the​ disease? 0.5 ​(Type an integer or a decimal. Do not​ round.) Part 4 d. If a mother has one defective x chromosome and one good X chromosome and the father has good XY​ chromosomes, what is the probability that a daughter will inherit the​ disease? 0 ​(Type an integer or a decimal. Do not​ round.)

a. Find the probability that when a single​ six-sided die is​ rolled, the outcome is 1. b. Find the probability that when a coin is​ tossed, the result is tails. c. Find the probability that when a​ six-sided die is​ rolled, the outcome is 15.

a. The probability of rolling a 1 on a​ six-sided die is 0.167. ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.) Part 2 b. The probability of a result of tails when tossing a coin is 0.5. ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.) Part 3 c. The probability of rolling a 15 on a​ six-sided die is 0. ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

On their first​ date, Kelly asks Mike to guess the date of her​ birth, not including the year. Complete parts a through c below

a. What is the probability that Mike will guess​ correctly? (Ignore leap​ years.) 1/365 ​(Type an integer or a simplified​ fraction.) Part 2 b. Would it be unlikely for him to guess correctly on his first​ try? D. ​Yes, it is unlikely for Mike to guess correctly on his first​ try, as the probability of a correct guess is very low. Your answer is correct. Part 3 c. If you were​ Kelly, and Mike did guess correctly on his first​ try, would you believe his claim that he made a lucky​ guess, or would you be convinced that he already knew when you were​ born? Mike already knew, as the probability of a correct guess is very low.


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