Survey Math: Chapter 11
EX: In order for the company to make a profit of $50 per policy, it must take in _________ than it spends on each policy.
$50 more.
The probability of an event occurring at least once is equal to 1 minus the probability that the event _______.
Does not occur. If the event does not occur,then the event did not occur at least once.
T/F: Because the words BET and BEE both contain three letters, the number of permutations of the letter in each word is 3!, or 6.
False. Since BEE has two repeating letters, the number of permutations is 3!/2!1!, which equals 3.
The order matters in ______.
Permutation.
nPr = ?
n!/(n−r)! (perm)
0! = ?
1.
A company breaks even when its income is ________ to its expenses.
Exactly equal.
Probability that is based on situations in which we observe how frequently an event occurs is called ______.
Empirical.
A mathematical way to use probabilities to determine what to expect in various situations over the long run is called ______________.
Expected Value.
T/F: If an event cannot occur, its probability is minus−1.
FALSE. "If an event cannot occur, its probability is 0."
T/F: Probability problems with the word "or" involve more than one selection.
FALSE. "Or" problems always involve only one selection. "And" problems have more than one.
T/F: If an experiment is repeated more and more times, the theoretical probability of an event tends to get closer to the empirical probability of that event.
FALSE. As an experiment is repeated more and more times, the EMPIRICAL probability of that event tends to get closer to the theoretical probability of the event.
T/F: According to a national center for health statistics, the lifetime odds in favor of dying from heart disease are 1 to 5, so the probability of dying from heart disease is 1/5.
FALSE. If the odds in favor of event E are a to b, then the probability is P(E) = a / a + b
T/F: Combination problems involve situations in which the order of the items makes a difference.
FALSE. To make this statement true, change "makes a difference" to "does not make a difference".
T/F: The probability of A or B can always be found by adding the probability of A and the probability of B.
FALSE. if probabilities of events A and B are not mutually exclusive events then the probability that A or B will occur is determined by adding their individual probabilities and subtracting the probability that A and B occur simultaneously.
The number of ways in which a series of successive things can occur is found by multiplying the number of ways in which each thing can occur. This is called the __________.
Fundamental Counting Principle.
The standard way to find expected value is to ______ each possible outcome by its probability, and then ____ these products.
Multiply; add
The theoretical probability of event E, denoted by ______, is the ______ divided by ______.
P(E) ; # of outcomes in event E [n(E)] divided by # of possible outcomes, n(S).
The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment is called the _______ of the experiment.
Sample Space.
T/F: If an even is certain to occur, its probability is 1.
TRUE.
T/F: P(B|A) is the probability that event B occurs if the sample space is restricted to the outcomes associated with event A.
TRUE.
T/F: The probability that an event happens at least once can be found by subtracting the probability that the event does not happen from 1.
TRUE.
T/F: The sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes in an experiment is 1.
TRUE.
T/F: Using the Fundamental Counting Principle, if you can choose one item from a group of M items and a second item from a group of N items, then the total number of two-item choices is M times N.
TRUE.
T/F: Within reason, regardless of the United States population, we will not run out of telephone numbers as long as we continue to add new digits.
TRUE. Because each additional digit adds to the total number of phone numbers by a power of 10, there will always be enough phone numbers.
T/F: Games in gambling casinos are set up so that expected values are negative.
TRUE. Needs to be negative for the casino to make money.
The number of permutations of n items, where p items are identical and q items are identical, is given by _______.
n!/p!q! (perm)
The number of possible combinations of r objects are taken from n items is _______.
nCr = n!/(n−r)! r! (combo?)
The formula for nCr has the same numerator as the formula for nPr but contains an extra factor of _____ in the denominator.
r!