Chapter 17: Inflation
An increase in the quantity of money in an economy must be reflected in one of the other three variables:
1. Price level must rise 2. quantity of output must rise 3. velocity of money must fall
Elements necessary to explain the equilibrium price level and inflation rate:
1. Velocity of money is relatively stable over time 2. When central bank changes quantity of money, it changes the quantity of output 3. Money does not effect output because it is determined by productivity Therefore, when the FED raises the money supply, the result is high inflation
Why is Inflation so closely studied/Why might it seem like such a bad thing?
Because most people earn their incomes by selling their services, such as their labor, inflation in incomes goes hand in hand with inflation in prices. Thus, inflation does not in itself reduce people's real purchasing power. Instead there a several "costs" to inflation
How could you avoid the inflation tax?
By holding onto less money
Why is saving less attractive to an economy experiencing inflation
Due to inflation-induced tax changes Solution: Index the tax system
How the growth in the money supply affects interest rates?
In the long run over which money is neutral, a change in money growth should not affect the real interest rate.
Redistribution of wealth caused by unexpected inflation ...
Inflation/Hyperinflation: Debtor benefits more when paying back Deflation: Creditor benefits more when being paid back
That is, why do the central banks of these countries choose to print so much money that its value is certain to fall rapidly over time?
The answer is that the governments of these countries are using money creation as a way to pay for their spending.
Menu Costs
The cost of changing prices
Quantity Equation
The equation M x V = P x Y , which relates the quantity of money, the velocity of money, and the dollar value of the economy's output of goods and services
Relative Price
The price of one thing compared to another
Why are interest rates important?
They link the economy of the present to the economy of the future
Relative price variability
Thus, because prices change only once in a while, inflation causes relative prices to vary more than they otherwise would. When inflation distorts relative prices, consumer decisions are distorted and markets are less able to allocate resources to their best use.
Real Interest Rate
corrects the nominal interest rate for the effect of inflation to tell you how fast the purchasing power of your savings account will rise over time. =Nominal IR - Inflation Rate
Hyperinflation
hyperinflation is generally defined as inflation that exceeds 50% per month. This means that the price level increases more than a hundredfold over the course of a year.
Nominal Interest Rate
tells you how fast the number of dollars in your account will rise over time. = Real IR + Inflation Rate
Fisher Effect
the one-for-one adjustment of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate Expected inflation moves with actual inflation in the long run, but that is not necessarily true in the short run.
Money Neutrality
the proposition that changes in the money supply do not affect real variables
Velocity of Money
the rate at which money changes hands V=(P x Y)/M P= price level Y= quantity of output M= quantity of money Relatively stable over time
ShoeLeather Cost
the resources wasted when inflation encourages people to reduce their money holdings magnified during hyperinflation
Inflation Tax
the revenue the government raises by creating money When the government prints money, the price level rises, and the dollars in your wallet are less valuable. Thus, the inflation tax is like a tax on everyone who holds money.
Classical Dichotomy
the theoretical separation of nominal and real variables The classical dichotomy is useful because different forces influence real and nominal variables. According to classical analysis, nominal variables are influenced by developments in the economy's monetary system, whereas money is largely irrelevant for explaining real variables.
Nominal Variables
variables measured in monetary units
Real Variables
variables measured in physical units In the long-run, is not effected by money fluctuations or inflation