Chapter 4: Continuous random variables and probability distributions

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standard normal distribution

- the Normal distribution N(0, 1) with mean 0, standard dev. 1 - if var. x has any Normal distribution N(µ, σ) with mean µ and standard dev. σ, then the standardized variable z has the standard normal distribution

uniform distribution sample problem

A = 3, B = 0

percentile

A point on a ranking scale of 0 to 100. The 50th percentile is the midpoint; half the people in the population being studied rank higher and half rank lower.

what is a pdf?

In other words, a probability distribution / pdf for a continuous r.v. is a mathematical formula that defines the possible values of the r.v. and the probabilities corresponding to intervals of values.

normal distribution

It is often used in the natural and social sciences to approximate the distributions of real-valued r.v.s. random variable can range from -∞ to ∞

Which of the following statements best describes P(X < c) as it relates to the probability distribution function (pdf), f(x)?

It is the area under f(x) to the left of c.

pdf "not a probability" misconception

P(x) IS a probability it's just the FUNCTION f(x) that we are integrating that is NOT a probability

difference between pdf and cdf

PDF → probability density function CDF → Cumulative density function Probability looks at probability at one point. Cumulative is the total probability of anything below it. As you can see in the diagram below, the cumulative is much greater than the just probability because it is the sum of many, and not just of one probabilities.

Phi(greek letter that looks like and I with a circle in the middle)

The cumulative probability, P(Z ≤z) is equivalent to the area under the curve to the left of z and is denoted by the symbol in the image aka phi.

75th percentile question

answer is 0.67

flaw between 0.40 and 0.45 problem

can either solve using pdf or cdf

Uniform Distribution

can use this instead of integrating from negative inifinity to infinity if the situation is right

F(x) is...

cdf

difference between pdf and cdf formula wise

cdf is a pdf except the lower bound is -infinity aka every number up to the upper bound pdf is f(x) itself NOT THE INTEGRAL

percentile part 2

everything up to that point

(image) flaw problem cdf

everything up to the random variable note: instead of negative infinity, use 0 for lower bound

derivatives and integrals tip

f(x) is the function aka base the integral is ∫f(x) the derivative is f'(x) but remember, f(x) is the BASE

note about F(x)

if you see F(x) that means that f(x) is already integrated.

cdf is the _____ of pdf

integral

a pdf is not a probability. that means that

it can go above one but to be legitimate it has to be equal to 1

for a cdf, F(x) can never go above one because...

it is a probability

E(x) aka mean

just integrate from negative infinity to infinity note: in our case it's just from zero to one

cdf accounts for areas outside of graph?

maybe

η

mean

cdf

note the negative infinity

cumalitive probabilty of standard normal distribution

note: F is the cdf(cumulative shit)

(image)flaw problem part 2

note: can also do 1 - area in between

(image)flaw problem

note: can also do 1 - unshaded region

P(Z > z₀) = 0.95

note: the notation means the area greater than(to the right) of z₀ is 0.95

sample problem: find the 90th percentile of X

note: η(0.90) is a point within the curve, just plug it into the function i.e (η(0.90)²)

f(x) is...

pdf

important note about pdf

pdf is f(x) itself NOT THE INTEGRAL

for cdf

plug little x into the funciton

remember that pdf is not...

pmf

probability density function

same as pmf except this is for continuous variables

What does legitimate pdf mean?

set it equal to 1

σ

standar deviation

P(-1 < x < 1)

take everything up to x = 1 and subtract everything up to x = -1 to get the stuff in between

pdf can be formulated by...

taking the derivative of cdf F(x) = left tail of curve aka the cdf

E[X] mean

the expected(estimated) value

The more specific the measurement...

the smoother the curve

standardizing

transforming a distribution to a standard normal distribution

what does variance = infinity mean

we can't measure the spread

if x < 0.30 can x be a negative number?

yes but we've already accounted for that situation as seen in the image

90th percentile in height means...

you're taller than 90% of the population


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